2020 Elections: interview with Fabiano dos Santos
Posted: Thu Feb 20, 2025 6:55 am
Inteligov is launching today (10/05/20) a new service exclusively for users of the platform . In partnership with the political consultancy Poliarco , we are offering a weekly analysis of this year's municipal elections . For this launch, we invited political scientist Fabiano dos Santos, professor at the Institute of Social and Political Studies at the State University of Rio de Janeiro – IESP-UERJ and partner of the consultancy. We spoke with him about the electoral scenario.
Regarding the municipal elections in Brazil, postponed until November, I wanted to understand how the map of municipal elections is shaping up.
I think the first important thing to consider is the distribution of parties in city halls. Since 2016, we have still been living with the impact of this change, which I will discuss a little later. It has changed a lot in relation to what was being planned up until then. The PSDB had the largest number of city halls up until then, followed by the PMDB and in third turkey mobile database place by the PT. Then came the PP and DEM, and the trajectory of all these parties was downward, with the PT becoming increasingly dominant. This is a consequence, of course, of the capillarity that the PT acquired due to its vocations as a party and, on the other hand, due to its control of the central government, with various income transfer policies .
This allowed the PT to reach places it had never imagined, even going so far as to compete with the PSDB, which remained well placed, thanks to the inertia of FHC's presidential term. What happened with the impeachment in 2016: the PT began to have a very controversial brand. There was a very sharp drop in the number of city halls controlled by the PT in 2016. The main cause could be the problem with the brand, or the large movement of candidates to other parties . 2016 was a major turning point.
The PT fell from the 3rd party with the most mayors to the 6th . Part of this was certainly due to the interruption of electoral support, but also as a result of politicians who were afraid to migrate to other parties. I think this was the big turning point that occurred in the 2016 elections. Since there is a lot of inertia in local elections, the map ends up not changing much. What we have: the party with the most money for advertising currently is the PSL, a result of the 2018 campaign. If this continues, the PSL could become a player it never was before. The strength of the party fund and TV could have a big impact on history .
Regarding the municipal elections in Brazil, postponed until November, I wanted to understand how the map of municipal elections is shaping up.
I think the first important thing to consider is the distribution of parties in city halls. Since 2016, we have still been living with the impact of this change, which I will discuss a little later. It has changed a lot in relation to what was being planned up until then. The PSDB had the largest number of city halls up until then, followed by the PMDB and in third turkey mobile database place by the PT. Then came the PP and DEM, and the trajectory of all these parties was downward, with the PT becoming increasingly dominant. This is a consequence, of course, of the capillarity that the PT acquired due to its vocations as a party and, on the other hand, due to its control of the central government, with various income transfer policies .
This allowed the PT to reach places it had never imagined, even going so far as to compete with the PSDB, which remained well placed, thanks to the inertia of FHC's presidential term. What happened with the impeachment in 2016: the PT began to have a very controversial brand. There was a very sharp drop in the number of city halls controlled by the PT in 2016. The main cause could be the problem with the brand, or the large movement of candidates to other parties . 2016 was a major turning point.
The PT fell from the 3rd party with the most mayors to the 6th . Part of this was certainly due to the interruption of electoral support, but also as a result of politicians who were afraid to migrate to other parties. I think this was the big turning point that occurred in the 2016 elections. Since there is a lot of inertia in local elections, the map ends up not changing much. What we have: the party with the most money for advertising currently is the PSL, a result of the 2018 campaign. If this continues, the PSL could become a player it never was before. The strength of the party fund and TV could have a big impact on history .